Will Karoline Leavitt say “Boat / Ship”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Boat / Ship” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Boat / Ship
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to them. But again, the President is not going to allow them to fire on ships in the strait without paying a consequence for that.
Any updates on the insurance program, the US reinsurance program for ships and tankers sailing through the Strait of Hormuz? Any update on that, sir?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…that he would support a joint US-Iran venture to charge tolls for ships going through the Strait. Does the President believe that the US should…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in sanction policy. As the President said last night, we allowed this ship to reach Cuba in order to provide humanitarian needs to the Cuban…
…5,000 pound bombs on an underground facility used to store equipment, including anti-ship cruise missiles and mobile missile launchers, positioned along the coastline of the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Boat / Ship |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Boat / Ship”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Boat / Ship” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Boat / Ship” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Boat / Ship’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/boat-or-ship (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=boat%20%2F%20ship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP