Will Karoline Leavitt say “Pregnant / Baby”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Pregnant / Baby” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Pregnant / Baby
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the opportunity to shout out to my husband, who's home with our babies right now. I look forward to returning home later to be with…
Thanks, Daniel. And congrats to you on your new baby.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Pregnant / Baby |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Karoline Leavitt say “Pregnant / Baby”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Karoline Leavitt said “Pregnant / Baby” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 2, 2026.
- What is the probability Karoline Leavitt says “Pregnant / Baby” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Pregnant / Baby’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/baby-or-pregnant (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=baby%20%2F%20pregnant · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP