Will Karoline Leavitt say “Above 30 minutes”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Karoline Leavitt saying “Above 30 minutes” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
Above 30 minutes
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | Above 30 minutes |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 23, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Above 30 minutes | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘Above 30 minutes’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/above-30-minute (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=above%2030%20minute · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP