Will Karoline Leavitt say “50 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Karoline Leavitt saying “50 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
50 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the country, released a detailed report showing exactly how these tax cuts are driving investment, job creation, innovation and long-term growth in all 50 states.
…trend under President Trump has been for small business optimism to be above its 52-year average. Under Joe Biden, small business optimism fell below that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…We have destroyed more than 140 of their naval vessels, including almost 50 mine layers. This is the largest elimination of a navy over a…
…also annihilating the Iranian regime's navy, and we have destroyed more than 50 Iranian naval vessels, including a major drone carrier ship. None of the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | 50 or above |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 50 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 3, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 50 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘50 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/50-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=50%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP