Will Karoline Leavitt say “45 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Karoline Leavitt saying “45 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
45 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…president has delivered the record refunds to the American people. More than 45% of the filers of the returns that we have seen have had…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…moments ago. Nearly 63.5 million tax returns have been processed thus far, 45 percent of the anticipated total number of tax returns by April 15th.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | 45 or above |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 45 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 3, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 45 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘45 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/45-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=45%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP