Will Karoline Leavitt say “40 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Karoline Leavitt saying “40 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
40 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…trend under President Trump has been for small business optimism to be above its 52-year average. Under Joe Biden, small business optimism fell below that…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Here at home, we are now on day 40 of the Democrats shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security. Democrats in Congress are forcing American…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | 40 or above |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 40 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 3, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 40 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘40 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/40-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=40%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP