Will Karoline Leavitt say “30 or above”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on Karoline Leavitt saying “30 or above” has settled yet.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press briefings; Mar 10, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Counts
- named speaker only
BetaOur transcript counts in White House agree with 97.5% of settled markets (1,870 of 1,917), below our 98% bar: treat them as provisional. Accuracy
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Karoline Leavitt
30 or above
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…pledge. So you'll continue to hear more about that from the President in a few hours at 2:30 when he goes over to the EPA.
…the SAVE America PAC -- Act as possible to the budget reconciliation 3.0. Here we go. The President is supportive of that process, and he…
Thanks, Karoline. The President has talked about rescheduling the dinner within 30 days. Does he have a specific venue in mind? And would he consider…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…claimed no tax and overtime with an average deduction of $3,100. Over 30 million seniors have claimed the enhanced deduction for seniors with an average…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…this before Operation Epic Fury, the Iranian Air Force would fly between 30 to 100 flights per day. Today, that number is zero. Iran's ability…
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | 30 or above |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 31, 2026 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 3, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | Yes | – (settled yes · our count is not graded for this listing) |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 30 or above | Kalshi | No | – (settled no · our count is not graded for this listing) |
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Karoline Leavitt: ‘30 or above’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/white-house/karoline-leavitt/words/30-or-above (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=30%20%2F%20above · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=karoline-leavitt&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP