Will Donald Trump say “Weightlifting / Weightlifter”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Weightlifting / Weightlifter” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 25, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Weightlifting / Weightlifter
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…But the dancing is not presidential. And she hates in particular the weightlifting. You know where the woman the woman gets caught. Baby, come on.
…only thing she hates more than dancing is when I do the weightlifter, right? The female the female championship weightlifter and she has to compete…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Weightlifting / Weightlifter |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Weightlifter / Weightlifting | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Weightlifter / Weightlifting | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Weightlifting / Weightlifter”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Weightlifting / Weightlifter” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 25, 2026 (33%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Weightlifting / Weightlifter” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Weightlifting / Weightlifter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/weightlifter-or-weightlifting (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=weightlifter%20%2F%20weightlifting · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP