Will Donald Trump say “Vote”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 26, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 26, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Vote
- Probability
- 34% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I won. You know, we won all three times with the most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions…
…What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any candidate in political history. Catch it. And I want you…
…great big beautiful state which I won all three times with more votes. I don't want to say this to I don't want to say…
…is there a reason you can think of medically, why do people vote -- (Laughter) But there should be no reason. In fact, you'd think…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Vote”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 26, 2025 (50%), most recently on Mar 26, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vote” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vote’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/vote (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=vote · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP