Will Donald Trump say “Venezuela” 3+ times?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Venezuela” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (50%), most recently on Apr 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Venezuela 3+ times
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it is almost like a release. It's good. You know, we took Venezuela quickly. We're doing we're doing very well. You have no idea how…
…I think we're captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And we won the war in…
…world. And we captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for lots of bad things. And…
…them out of jails, and we're working closely with the leaders of Venezuela to forge a much better future for the Venezuelan people. Last month,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2025 | Venezuela 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Venezuela 3+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Venezuela 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Venezuela” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 21, 2024 (50%), most recently on Apr 14, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Venezuela 3+ times” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Venezuela 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/venezuela-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=venezuela%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP