Will Donald Trump say “UN / United Nations”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “UN / United Nations” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
UN / United Nations
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…really an honor to do so. I had no help from the United Nations. I never made one phone call to the United Nations, but…
…the governor, I took the governor, I put her over at the United Nations because I wanted this guy to be I wanted this guy…
You gave a very—you gave a very powerful speech at the U.N.—was it yesterday or the day before.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
The United Nations allowed us in, sir.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…terrorism against civilian ships from other countries. I want to thank the U.N. Security Council for voting overwhelmingly to pass a resolution condemning Iran's despicable…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2025 | UN / United Nations |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UN / United Nations |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “UN / United Nations”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “UN / United Nations” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (50%), most recently on Sep 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “UN / United Nations” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘UN / United Nations’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/un-or-united-nation (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=un%20%2F%20united%20nation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP