Will Donald Trump say “Tip” 3+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tip” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 24, 2024 (50%), most recently on Sep 24, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tip 3+ times
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…I did it in my first term also, including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security for our…
…American history with the great big beautiful bill including no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, and no tax on social security. You don't…
…in American history with a great big beautiful bill, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on social security for our great…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Tip 3+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Tips 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tip 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tip” 3+ times at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 24, 2024 (50%), most recently on Sep 24, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tip 3+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tip 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tip-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tip%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP