Will Donald Trump say “Thank You”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Thank You” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Thank You
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group of warriors down here.…
Well, thank you very much. I love this place. USA. I know you're not all farmers, but I love farmers. I don't care. I don't…
Thank you. Thank you very much, everybody. Beautiful place, beautiful everything. And you're going to -- if you want to walk out that door in…
…to rig. 13 days from now, the people of South Carolina You Thank you. Thank you. paid protesters. It's unbelievable. Unbelievable. They'll do whatever they…
…them the way you like them? Huh? Nice to see you. OK, thank you very much, everybody, appreciate it. This is so big and so…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Thank You”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Thank You” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Thank You” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Thank You’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/thank-you (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=thank%20you · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP