Will Donald Trump say “Tariff” 6+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff” 6+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 3, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (6+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tariff 6+ times
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
16 counted.
…more now because we're a little longer than that. Thanks to my tariffs, my favorite word, I have to tell you. But no longer. It's…
…factories being built. You know the radical left like oh take the tariffs off. Yeah, take the tariffs off. Watch watch every factory leave America.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Tariff 6+ times |  Polymarket | Yes | 16 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tariff 6+ times | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Tariff 6+ times | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tariff 6+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff” 6+ times at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 3, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tariff 6+ times” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tariff 6+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tariff-6plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tariff%20%286%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP