Will Donald Trump say “Senior”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Senior” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Senior
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tax on overtime, and no tax on social security for our great seniors. And we made interest on car loans something that you be you…
…on overtime, and no tax on social security. You don't have any seniors in this room for a great senior. We don't have any seniors…
…fraudsters, hackers and scammers who try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through fraud, ransomware, impersonization seen --…
…no tax on overtime, no tax on social security for our great seniors. And we we did something that I think is great. Oh, look…
…are we paying you to play mahjong in a -- in a senior center? Isn't that something you, again, would do for free? Where I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Senior |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | Senior | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Senior”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Senior” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Senior” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Senior’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/senior (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=senior · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP