What is the probability Donald Trump says “Netanyahu” next time?

52%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Netanyahu”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Netanyahu” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Netanyahu” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

52%from settlement history only · n=2Next: Weekly window, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only

Last 10: 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak: said the last 2 times
Counts: named speaker only
Market: 62¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 10:48 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Netanyahu

Probability: 52% · n=2
Settled: 2/2 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:31:16In transcript

On Israel/Iran, can you fill us in on what Secretary Hegseth spoke about with Prime Minister Netanyahu?

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Apr 30, 2026	Netanyahu	Polymarket	Yes	– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Jun 22, 2025	Netanyahu	Polymarket	Yes	–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Netanyahu”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Netanyahu” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 22, 2025 (100%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Netanyahu” next time?: 52%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Netanyahu’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/netanyahu (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=netanyahu · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP