Will Donald Trump say “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Terrorist / Narcoterrorist
- Probability
- 44% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…mark the third anniversary of the October 7th attack in Israel, where terrorists funded by Iran tortured, mutilated and killed 1200 very innocent civilians, including…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Terrorist / Narcoterrorist |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Terrorist / Narcoterrorist | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jan 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Terrorist / Narcoterrorist” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Terrorist / Narcoterrorist’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/narcoterrorist-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=narcoterrorist%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP