Will Donald Trump say “Michigan”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Michigan” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Michigan
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Senate, which is between How about the gentleman from a place called Michigan? He's in there. Jihadist. He's a jihadist. Muslim Brotherhood. Are you a…
…of a couple of states have made statements. But the Senator from Michigan made a statement yesterday that was amazing, where they want to frighten…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Michigan”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Michigan” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 27, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Michigan” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Michigan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/michigan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=michigan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP