Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 27, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during today's Iftar Dinner?
Markets
21 words · 4 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Great 7+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Michigan | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Saudi Arabia | Yes | 22%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 42%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 38%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Hamas | No | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Amazing job | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ban / Banned | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Christian | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Houthi | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| I love the Muslims | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Kareem | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mehmet / Oz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pork | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ramadan 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God 3+ times | No | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Jew | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 7%n=71 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-todays-iftar-dinner · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP