Will Donald Trump say “London”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “London” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (25%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
London
- Probability
- 45% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…you take a look at the UK. They have a mayor in London who's horrible. I mean, he's just absolutely horrible. And so bad what's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “London”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “London” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 17, 2025 (25%), most recently on Aug 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “London” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘London’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/london (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=london · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP