Will Donald Trump say “Kiev / Kyiv”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kiev / Kyiv” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Dec 9, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kiev / Kyiv
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…onto the farmland and then take a left and go up to Kyiv. And rather than staying on the highway, the concrete highway, perfectly good…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | Kiev / Kyiv |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kiev / Kyiv |  Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kiev / Kyiv”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kiev / Kyiv” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Dec 9, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kiev / Kyiv” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kiev / Kyiv’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kiev-or-kyiv (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kiev%20%2F%20kyiv · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP