Donald Trump: Weekly window, Dec 14, 2025

By Dec 14Weekly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

0 known appearances
no known appearances yet Window: Dec 8, 2025 to Dec 14, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.

Markets

13 words · 9 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersProbabilityMarket
MAGA / Make America Great Again Yes–072%n=30 from settlement history–
Transgender Yes–064%n=43 from settlement history–
Andrew / Sarah Yes–0–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Booming Yes–051%n=2 from settlement history–
Bitch / Bitching Yes–0–new new word, no probability yet–
Luck Yes–0–new new word, no probability yet–
Season Yes–0–new new word, no probability yet–
Walz Yes–0–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Kiev / Kyiv Yes–0–n=1 too little history for a probability–
No cards / Any cards No–0–new new word, no probability yet–
On land also No–0–new new word, no probability yet–
Nazi No–050%n=3 from settlement history–
Boot Edge Edge / Buttigieg No–042%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-december-8-14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP