Will Donald Trump say “Xi / Jinping”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Xi / Jinping” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Xi / Jinping
- Probability
- 35% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…much more strongly with Iran and, likewise, China. As you know, President Xi was here a week ago, likewise, China could have participated a lot…
…it from 1592. 1592. That's not that old when you because President Xi from China was here. You know, I was showing him I was…
…we had it for tomorrow night because we'd be able to—you know, we have a packed house tomorrow night for President Xi and Mrs. Xi.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | Xi / Jinping |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Xi / Jinping | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Xi / Jinping”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Xi / Jinping” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Xi / Jinping” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Xi / Jinping’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/jinping-or-xi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=jinping%20%2F%20xi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP