Will Donald Trump say “Jerome "Too Late" Powell”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Jerome "Too Late" Powell” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 31, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Jerome "Too Late" Powell
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Jerome "Too Late" Powell |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Jerome Too Late Powell | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Jerome Too Late Powell | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Jerome "Too Late" Powell”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Jerome "Too Late" Powell” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 31, 2025 (67%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Jerome "Too Late" Powell” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Jerome "Too Late" Powell’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/jerome-too-late-powell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=jerome%20too%20late%20powell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP