Will Donald Trump say “Invest / Investment”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Invest / Investment” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Invest / Investment
- Probability
- 47% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…than two years, we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars of new investments into the United States of America. The greatest amount of money ever…
…less than two years we secured commitments for $22.2 trillion of new investments into the United States of America. the greatest amount by far ever…
…the hottest country anywhere in the world. We made the largest ever investment in the US armed forces, Joanie, and $1 trillion all made in…
…That'll be But we secured commitments for 22.2 trillion dollars in new investments coming into the United States. It's the greatest, the largest amount of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2026 | Invest / Investment |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Invest / Investment |  Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Invest / Investment | Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Invest / Investment | Kalshi | No | – |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Invest / Investment | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Invest / Investment”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Invest / Investment” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Invest / Investment” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Invest / Investment’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/invest-or-investment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=invest%20%2F%20investment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP