Will Donald Trump say “Inflation” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Inflation” 5+ times at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 15, 2024 (75%), most recently on May 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Inflation 5+ times
- Probability
- 45% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 0 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…last time the radical Democrats had power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history. You know,…
…last time the radical Democrats had power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history, the worst…
…everything is gone, including their economy. The only thing not gone is inflation. They have 301 percent as of this morning. The -- their money…
…last time the radical Democrats had power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history. And by…
Their economy is gone. The only thing that isn't gone is inflation, which is destroying their country and is now well over 300%. Yet even…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Inflation 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Inflation 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Inflation 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Inflation 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Inflation 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Inflation” 5+ times at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 15, 2024 (75%), most recently on May 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Inflation 5+ times” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Inflation 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/inflation-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=inflation%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP