Will Donald Trump say “Smart / High IQ”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Smart / High IQ” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 13, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Smart / High IQ
- Probability
- 42% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…word. Now it's number five. But right now, because of tariffs and smart people like Scott and Howard and we love Bobby. Wow. How about…
…test. And I thought it was great. I thought, "Oh, I'm so smart. That's so such a great idea." And then you know what they…
…people I've known her a long time but everybody respects her. She's smart and incredible. She'll never let you down. In fact, you know, in…
…JD and his people. And they really are, they are amazing people, smart. It's incredible, without any incentive, the kind of money that they've already…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Smart / High IQ |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Smart / High IQ | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Smart / High IQ”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Smart / High IQ” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 13, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Smart / High IQ” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Smart / High IQ’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/high-iq-or-smart (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=high%20iq%20%2F%20smart · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP