Will Donald Trump say “Ground”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ground” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Ground
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…oil. You know how you find oil in Venezuela? Look at the ground. You say there look you see you see bubbles. You don't need…
…some news happen that allows us to understand what people on the ground are saying, we're tipped off to big problems. Take Minnesota as an…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Ground”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Donald Trump said “Ground” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 1, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Ground” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Ground’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/ground (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=ground · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP