Will Donald Trump say “Great Shape”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Great Shape” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Great Shape
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…at the best levels ever recorded. So So, so poverty is in great shape. We don't want to be there, but it's in great shape.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Great Shape |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Great Shape | Polymarket | Yes | 0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Great Shape”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Great Shape” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 25, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Great Shape” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Great Shape’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/great-shape (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=great%20shape · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP