Will Donald Trump say “Electric”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Electric” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

47%from settlement history only · n=2Next: Rally, Oct 26, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
73¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Electric

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 8 rallies
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 22, 2025ElectricKalshiYes
Jul 22, 2025ElectricKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Electric”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Electric” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 22, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 22, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Electric” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Electric’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/electric (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=electric · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP