Will Donald Trump say “Duty”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Duty” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 24, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Duty
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in to fear and doubt, if we refuse to shrink from our duties to our people, then together, through bold action, we will make this…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Duty”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Duty” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 24, 2025 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Duty” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Duty’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/duty (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=duty · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP