Will Donald Trump say “Dictator / Maduro”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dictator / Maduro” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Dictator / Maduro
- Probability
- 48% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…He's a great guy. We captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting trial. And we won…
…go up. I think we're captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And we won the…
…in the world. And we captured and brought to justice the outlaw dictator of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who's now awaiting trial for lots of bad…
…that was supposed to be flawless against attack, and arrested the outlaw dictator, real criminal Nicolas Maduro. Since that day, hundreds of Venezuelan political prisoners…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Dictator / Maduro |  Polymarket | No |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Maduro / Dictator | Polymarket | No |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Maduro / Dictator | Polymarket | No |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Maduro / Dictator | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Dictator / Maduro”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Dictator / Maduro” at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 9, 2026 (25%), most recently on Jan 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Dictator / Maduro” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Dictator / Maduro’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/dictator-or-maduro (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dictator%20%2F%20maduro · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP