Will Donald Trump say “Detroit”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Detroit” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (50%), most recently on Oct 25, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

46%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Detroit

Probability
46% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 1 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

videootherDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 0:57In transcript

…Tennessee, across the plains of Texas, from sea to shining sea, from Detroit down to Houston and New York to LA, where there's pride in…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 24, 2026DetroitKalshiNo
Oct 25, 2024DetroitPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Detroit”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Detroit” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (50%), most recently on Oct 25, 2024.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Detroit” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Detroit’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/detroit (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=detroit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP