Will Donald Trump say “Court”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Court” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 3, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Court
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
the Supreme Court of the United States, giving free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent…
…about 90% I'd say, Tim, 90% of that case in the Supreme Court. There's still that little wrinkle that they can go around of. Oh…
…do great this one. Andrews wants to vote to pack the Supreme Court because by doing that, they can terminate a thing called your Second…
…done expeditiously and fairly, and we won't have long lines waiting or court cases or anything else. We'll have a binding arbitration. Does that sound…
…opposed to the out of control institution known as the International Criminal Court. We will never allow U.S. service members or anyone else to be…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Court”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Court” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 3, 2025 (100%), most recently on May 12, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Court” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP