Will Donald Trump say “Congress”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Congress” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 15, 2025 (20%), most recently on Jan 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Congress
- Probability
- 43% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…last night. And it was just revealed that one of my favorite Congress people, a person I have tremendous respect for, Elhan Omar. And I…
…Omar, the one that she used to get elected and sworn into Congress. In other words, she used the name Elan Omar, but rather it's…
…Down Act, a big deal.And it went almost, I think, unanimously through Congress. We are very bipartisan. Melania's continued leadership has been vital to helping…
…left Democrats want to burn it all down. Every single Democrat in Congress voted against our record tax cuts. They voted against no tax on…
…decide whether the fraud is bad enough. President Trump has proposed that Congress pass mandatory minimums today so that everyone who commits fraud that the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
Polymarket
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Congress”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Congress” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 15, 2025 (20%), most recently on Jan 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Congress” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Congress’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/congress (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=congress · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP