Will Donald Trump say “Chip / Ship”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Chip / Ship” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (67%), most recently on May 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Chip / Ship
- Probability
- 45% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…You know what their number one industry is? Being pirates and robbing ships. No. All they have is crime. And she sailed. I don't know…
…Nebraska, made a little speech, and he took off like a rocket ship. You saw that, right? It was going to be close. Not close…
As a result of Operation Epic Fury, all 159 ships of their navy are now lying at the bottom of the sea. Likewise, their air…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Chip / Ship |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 14, 2026 | Ship / Chip | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Chip / Ship | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Chip / Ship”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Chip / Ship” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 18, 2025 (67%), most recently on May 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Chip / Ship” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Chip / Ship’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/chip-or-ship (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=chip%20%2F%20ship · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP