Will Donald Trump say “Card”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Card” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 16, 2024 (33%), most recently on Sep 16, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Card
- Probability
- 35% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…it again. No, I think I better not. But Nixon is a card carrying member of the Democrat Socialists of America, the Communist, whose official…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Card”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Card” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 16, 2024 (33%), most recently on Sep 16, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Card” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/card (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP