Will Donald Trump say “Car / Truck”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Car / Truck” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 10, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Car / Truck
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…on social security for our great seniors. And we made interest on car loans something that you be you haven't seen. You know, very rich…
the plants being built in this country right now, record number of car plants are all coming in from Canada, they're coming in from Mexico,…
…but I am running, right? You remember? But we made interest on car loans tax deductible. First time we've ever done a thing like that.…
…We're just -- Toyota just announced they're coming in with a massive car plant. You know, we had a period of 49 years where we…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | Car / Truck |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Car / Truck | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Car / Truck”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “Car / Truck” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Nov 10, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Car / Truck” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Car / Truck’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/car-or-truck (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=car%20%2F%20truck · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP