Will Donald Trump say “Book”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Book” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.

47%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=book

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Book

Probability
47% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

The PressreporterDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 1:13:16In transcript

…percent? Ok, that's actually worse. The False Claims Act, which has been on the books since 1863, whistleblowers can get between 10 and 25 percent.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 3, 2026BookPolymarketYes– (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window))
Jan 29, 2026BookPolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Book”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Book” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jan 29, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Book” next time?
47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Book’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/book (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=book · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP