Will Donald Trump say “Boeing / Plane”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Boeing / Plane” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on May 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Boeing / Plane
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…they stopped shooting and the war was over. I stopped it. 11 planes, think of it. 11 planes were shot. I stopped all these wars…
…They got to respect you. Do you remember he loaded up a Boeing 757 with $1.7 billion dollar in cash? You know, did you ever…
…have done a good job, a great job. That -- that beautiful plane right there took them out. But it's under hundreds of tons of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Boeing / Plane |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 14, 2026 | Boeing / Plane | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 14, 2026 | Boeing / Plane | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Boeing / Plane”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Boeing / Plane” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 14, 2026 (67%), most recently on May 15, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Boeing / Plane” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Boeing / Plane’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/boeing-or-plane (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=boeing%20%2F%20plane · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP