Will Donald Trump say “Automobile”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Automobile” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Automobile
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…out and turned out regulations. We got rid of them in the automobile industry. Now we have more auto plants than ever being built. And…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | Automobile |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 8, 2025 | Automobile | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Automobile”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Automobile” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 14, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Automobile” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Automobile’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/automobile (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=automobile · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP