Will Donald Trump say “America” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “America” 15+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
America 15+ times
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…But Nixon is a card carrying member of the Democrat Socialists of America, the Communist, whose official platform calls for abolishing the US Senate, abolishing
…is going to be a continuation of the US Senate and elect America first Republicans all up and down the line. We have a lot…
…very bipartisan. Melania's continued leadership has been vital to helping us protect America's children and women from online exploitation. To any American who might find…
…great. And we're going to elect a Republican House, a Republican Senate, America First Patriots up and down the line. We have them all standing…
…off is a direct threat to the radical left's effort to turn America into a third world country ruled by people who hate America. No,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | America 15+ times |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jan 20, 2025 | America 15+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “America 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “America” 15+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 20, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “America 15+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘America 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/america-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=america%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP