Will “War / Conflict / Invasion” be said on the next Winter Olympics broadcast?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “War / Conflict / Invasion” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 1 of 2 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 7, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named broadcast crew
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Winter Olympics
War / Conflict / Invasion
- Probability
- 51% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named broadcast crew
We don’t have transcripts for Winter Olympics yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | War / Conflict / Invasion |  Kalshi | No |
| Feb 7, 2026 | War / Conflict / Invasion | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “War / Conflict / Invasion” said on Winter Olympics broadcasts?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “War / Conflict / Invasion” was said on Winter Olympics broadcasts in 1 of 2 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 7, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “War / Conflict / Invasion” is said on Winter Olympics broadcasts next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named broadcast crew.
Cite parrot.markets, “Winter Olympics: ‘War / Conflict / Invasion’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/winter-olympics/words/conflict-or-invasion-or-war (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=winter-olympics&word=conflict%20%2F%20invasion%20%2F%20war · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=winter-olympics&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP