Stephen A. Smith
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 67 word markets on Stephen A. Smith’s appearances since 2025, on 47 different words.
History Wall
1–40 of 47, most settled first · page 1 of 2| Word | Apr 30 ’25episode | Mar 5 ’26interview | Mar 17interview | May 8interview | Jul 22latest | Last 5 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron | Settled no: LeBron, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled no: LeBron, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled no: LeBron, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: LeBron, May 8 interview | Settled no: LeBron, Jul 22 interview | 1/520% | 1/520% | 31%n=5 from settlement history |
| 2028 / Campaign | Not listed: 2028 / Campaign, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled yes: 2028 / Campaign, Mar 17 interview | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, May 8 interview | Settled no: 2028 / Campaign, Jul 22 interview | 1/425% | 1/425% | 30%n=4 from settlement history |
| Democrat | Not listed: Democrat, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Democrat, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled no: Democrat, Mar 17 interview | Settled no: Democrat, May 8 interview | Settled no: Democrat, Jul 22 interview | 1/425% | 1/425% | 29%n=4 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Trump, May 8 interview | Settled yes: Trump, Jul 22 interview | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 55%n=3 from settlement history |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled yes: Iran, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled yes: Iran, Mar 17 interview | Settled no: Iran, May 8 interview | Not listed: Iran, Jul 22 interview | 2/367% | 2/367% | 42%n=3 from settlement history |
| ESPN | Not listed: ESPN, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled no: ESPN, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled no: ESPN, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: ESPN, May 8 interview | Settled no: ESPN, Jul 22 interview | 0/30% | 0/30% | 24%n=3 from settlement history |
| Debate | Not listed: Debate, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled no: Debate, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled no: Debate, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Debate, May 8 interview | Not listed: Debate, Jul 22 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 28%n=2 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Election, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Election, Mar 17 interview | Settled no: Election, May 8 interview | Settled no: Election, Jul 22 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 26%n=2 from settlement history |
| Mamdani / New York | Not listed: Mamdani / New York, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled no: Mamdani / New York, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled no: Mamdani / New York, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Mamdani / New York, May 8 interview | Not listed: Mamdani / New York, Jul 22 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 28%n=2 from settlement history |
| VP / Vice President | Not listed: VP / Vice President, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Settled no: VP / Vice President, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled no: VP / Vice President, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: VP / Vice President, May 8 interview | Not listed: VP / Vice President, Jul 22 interview | 0/20% | 0/20% | 28%n=2 from settlement history |
| Barack / Obama | Settled yes: Barack / Obama, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Barack / Obama, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Barack / Obama, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Barack / Obama, May 8 interview | Not listed: Barack / Obama, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Jaylen / Brown | Not listed: Jaylen / Brown, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Jaylen / Brown, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Jaylen / Brown, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: Jaylen / Brown, May 8 interview | Not listed: Jaylen / Brown, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Cowboys | Not listed: Cowboys, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Cowboys, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Cowboys, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: Cowboys, May 8 interview | Not listed: Cowboys, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion | Settled yes: DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion, May 8 interview | Not listed: DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| GOAT | Not listed: GOAT, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: GOAT, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: GOAT, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: GOAT, May 8 interview | Not listed: GOAT, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| MJ / Jordan | Not listed: MJ / Jordan, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: MJ / Jordan, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: MJ / Jordan, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: MJ / Jordan, May 8 interview | Not listed: MJ / Jordan, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| MVP | Not listed: MVP, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: MVP, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: MVP, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: MVP, May 8 interview | Not listed: MVP, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| President | Not listed: President, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: President, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Settled yes: President, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: President, May 8 interview | Not listed: President, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump / President | Not listed: Trump / President, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Trump / President, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Trump / President, Mar 17 interview | Settled yes: Trump / President, May 8 interview | Not listed: Trump / President, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Tariff | Settled yes: Tariff, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Tariff, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Tariff, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Tariff, May 8 interview | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 22 interview | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Accountability | Settled no: Accountability, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Accountability, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Accountability, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Accountability, May 8 interview | Not listed: Accountability, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 8 interview | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, May 8 interview | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Saquon / Barkley | Settled no: Saquon / Barkley, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Saquon / Barkley, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Saquon / Barkley, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Saquon / Barkley, May 8 interview | Not listed: Saquon / Barkley, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Blasphemy | Settled no: Blasphemy, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Blasphemy, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Blasphemy, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Blasphemy, May 8 interview | Not listed: Blasphemy, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bona Fide | Settled no: Bona Fide, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bona Fide, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Bona Fide, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Bona Fide, May 8 interview | Not listed: Bona Fide, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Bronny | Not listed: Bronny, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Bronny, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Bronny, Mar 17 interview | Settled no: Bronny, May 8 interview | Not listed: Bronny, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Damn Shame | Settled no: Damn Shame, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Damn Shame, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Damn Shame, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Damn Shame, May 8 interview | Not listed: Damn Shame, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Elon / Musk | Settled no: Elon / Musk, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Elon / Musk, May 8 interview | Not listed: Elon / Musk, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epstein | Not listed: Epstein, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Epstein, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Epstein, May 8 interview | Settled no: Epstein, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Mar 17 interview | Settled no: Gas / Gasoline, May 8 interview | Not listed: Gas / Gasoline, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Jalen / Hurts | Settled no: Jalen / Hurts, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Jalen / Hurts, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Jalen / Hurts, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Jalen / Hurts, May 8 interview | Not listed: Jalen / Hurts, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 8 interview | Settled no: Iran / Iranian, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Israel / Israeli | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Israel / Israeli, May 8 interview | Settled no: Israel / Israeli, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Knicks | Not listed: Knicks, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Knicks, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Knicks, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Knicks, May 8 interview | Settled no: Knicks, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Leadership | Settled no: Leadership, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Leadership, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Leadership, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Leadership, May 8 interview | Not listed: Leadership, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Liar | Settled no: Liar, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Liar, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Liar, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Liar, May 8 interview | Not listed: Liar, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, May 8 interview | Settled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Messi | Not listed: Messi, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Messi, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Messi, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Messi, May 8 interview | Settled no: Messi, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nonsense | Settled no: Nonsense, Apr 30 ’25 episode | Not listed: Nonsense, Mar 5 ’26 interview | Not listed: Nonsense, Mar 17 interview | Not listed: Nonsense, May 8 interview | Not listed: Nonsense, Jul 22 interview | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 5Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Stephen A. Smith say during NewsNation: Cuomo? | no transcript | 18 | 1 yes · 17 no | – |
| May 8, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Stephen A. Smith say during ESPN: First Take? | no transcript | 15 | 7 yes · 8 no | – |
| Mar 17, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Stephen A. Smith say during his NewsNation interview? | no transcript | 11 | 4 yes · 7 no | – |
| Mar 5, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Stephen A. Smith say during his NewsNation interview? | no transcript | 9 | 3 yes · 6 no | – |
| Apr 30, 2025 | EpisodeWhat will Stephen A. Smith say on Tonight's CUOMO Town Hall: The First 100 Days? | no transcript | 17 | 3 yes · 14 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Stephen A. Smith: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/stephen-a-smith (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/stephen-a-smith · words: /api/v1/history?entity=stephen-a-smith · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP