Stephen A. Smith: Episode, Apr 30, 2025

Wed, Apr 30EpisodeHistory onlyStephen A. Smith

Updated

Markets

17 words · 3 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Barack / Obama Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
DEI / Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Accountability No–new new word, no probability yet–
Blasphemy No–new new word, no probability yet–
Bona Fide No–new new word, no probability yet–
Damn Shame No–new new word, no probability yet–
Elon / Musk No–new new word, no probability yet–
Jalen / Hurts No–new new word, no probability yet–
Leadership No–new new word, no probability yet–
Lebron No–new new word, no probability yet–
Liar No–new new word, no probability yet–
Nonsense No–new new word, no probability yet–
Racism No–new new word, no probability yet–
Saquon / Barkley No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shannon Sharpe No–new new word, no probability yet–
Shedeur / Sanders No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSASMITH-25APR30 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP