Stephen A. Smith: Interview, Mar 17, 2026

Tue, Mar 17InterviewHistory onlyStephen A. Smith

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Iran Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Trump Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
President Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
2028 / Campaign Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Democrat No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Debate No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
ESPN No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Mamdani / New York No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
VP / Vice President No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
LeBron No31%n=2 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMENTION-STEP26MAR17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP