Stephen A. Smith: Interview, May 8, 2026

Fri, May 8InterviewHistory onlyStephen A. Smith

Updated

Markets

14 words · 7 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Cowboys Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
GOAT Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Jaylen / Brown Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
MJ / Jordan Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
MVP Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump / President Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
LeBron Yes27%n=3 from settlement history–
Iran No59%n=2 from settlement history–
2028 / Campaign No44%n=2 from settlement history–
Democrat No43%n=2 from settlement history–
Bronny No–new new word, no probability yet–
Election No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gas / Gasoline No–new new word, no probability yet–
Tom Brady No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPERSONMENTION-26MAY08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP