What is the probability Stephen A. Smith says “MJ / Jordan” next time?

43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Stephen A. Smith say “MJ / Jordan”?

Name: Stephen A. Smith: “MJ / Jordan” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen A. Smith said “MJ / Jordan” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 8, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 07:22 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Stephen A. Smith

MJ / Jordan

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Stephen A. Smith yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Stephen A. Smith say during NewsNation: Cuomo? · not listed

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What will Stephen A. Smith say during ESPN: First Take? · settled yes

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What will Stephen A. Smith say during his NewsNation interview? · not listed

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What will Stephen A. Smith say during his NewsNation interview? · not listed

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What will Stephen A. Smith say on Tonight's CUOMO Town Hall: The First 100 Days? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 8, 2026	MJ / Jordan	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Stephen A. Smith say “MJ / Jordan”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen A. Smith said “MJ / Jordan” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 8, 2026.
What is the probability Stephen A. Smith says “MJ / Jordan” next time?: 43%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Stephen A. Smith: ‘MJ / Jordan’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/stephen-a-smith/words/jordan-or-mj (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-a-smith&word=jordan%20%2F%20mj · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=stephen-a-smith&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP