Will Stephen A. Smith say “Iran”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen A. Smith said “Iran” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on Mar 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Stephen A. Smith
Iran
- Probability
- 42% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Stephen A. Smith yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Stephen A. Smith say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Stephen A. Smith said “Iran” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (67%), most recently on Mar 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Stephen A. Smith says “Iran” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Stephen A. Smith: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/stephen-a-smith/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-a-smith&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=stephen-a-smith&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP