Will Stephen A. Smith say “Trump”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Stephen A. Smith said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

55%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Stephen A. Smith

Trump

Probability
55% · n=3
Settled
3/3 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Stephen A. Smith yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Stephen A. Smith say during NewsNation: Cuomo? · settled yes

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What will Stephen A. Smith say during ESPN: First Take? · not listed

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What will Stephen A. Smith say during his NewsNation interview? · settled yes

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What will Stephen A. Smith say during his NewsNation interview? · settled yes

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What will Stephen A. Smith say on Tonight's CUOMO Town Hall: The First 100 Days? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 22, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 17, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 5, 2026TrumpKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Stephen A. Smith say “Trump”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Stephen A. Smith said “Trump” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability Stephen A. Smith says “Trump” next time?
55%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Stephen A. Smith: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/stephen-a-smith/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=stephen-a-smith&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=stephen-a-smith&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP